Augusto Sakai vs Mukhamad Vakhaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record13-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach-
264 lbsWeight266 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1687 avg Elo · 26 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiMukhamad Vakhaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Augusto Sakai57%
Mukhamad Vakhaev 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 57% favorite over Mukhamad Vakhaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mukhamad Vakhaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamad Vakhaev 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.