Augusto Sakai vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record14-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Augusto Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1632
If they lose-17→ 1600
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa54%
Augusto Sakai 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 54% favorite over Augusto Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Augusto Sakai's way (47%).
Augusto Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1598, a 19-point edge.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Augusto Sakai and Tai Tuivasa share 1 common opponent: Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Augusto Sakai carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.