Augusto Sakai vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-6-1Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Augusto Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1649
If they lose-17→ 1617
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-15→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa63%
Augusto Sakai 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 63% favorite over Augusto Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Augusto Sakai's way (47%).
Augusto Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1611, a 23-point edge.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Augusto Sakai and Tai Tuivasa share 2 common opponents: Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Marcin Tybura.
Augusto Sakai carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.