Augusto Sakai vs Tsuyoshi Kosaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record28-21-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight214 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAlliance-Square
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Augusto SakaiTsuyoshi Kosaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Augusto Sakai68%
Tsuyoshi Kosaka 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 68% favorite over Tsuyoshi Kosaka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1617), separated by just 0 points.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Augusto Sakai finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Kosaka 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.