Aupuni Pagaoa vs Erson Yamamoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record7-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67.5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKrazy Bee
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1497
If they lose-16→ 1465
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aupuni PagaoaErson Yamamoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erson Yamamoto72%
Aupuni Pagaoa 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Erson Yamamoto a 72% favorite over Aupuni Pagaoa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aupuni Pagaoa's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1481 vs 1475), separated by just 6 points.
Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erson Yamamoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Erson Yamamoto 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.