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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aupuni Pagaoa vs Jacob Thompson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record0-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"HeightTBD
67.5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aupuni PagaoaNow 1483
If they win+16→ 1499
If they lose-16→ 1467
Jacob ThompsonNow 1483
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Aupuni PagaoaJacob Thompson
15001550200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Thompson54%
Aupuni Pagaoa 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Thompson a 54% favorite over Aupuni Pagaoa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aupuni Pagaoa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1483), separated by just 0 points.

Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.