Combat Edge Intelligence

Aupuni Pagaoa vs Josh Epps

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record6-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67.5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight123 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFinney's HIT Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aupuni PagaoaNow 1481
If they win+16→ 1497
If they lose-16→ 1465
Josh EppsNow 1482
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aupuni PagaoaJosh Epps
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (100%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aupuni Pagaoa57%
Josh Epps 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aupuni Pagaoa a 57% favorite over Josh Epps in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Epps's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1481 vs 1482), separated by just 1 points.

Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Epps 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.