Aupuni Pagaoa vs Josh Epps
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record6-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67.5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight123 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFinney's HIT Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1499
If they lose-16→ 1467
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aupuni PagaoaJosh Epps
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aupuni Pagaoa58%
Josh Epps 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aupuni Pagaoa a 58% favorite over Josh Epps in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1482), separated by just 1 points.
Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Epps 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.