Aupuni Pagaoa vs Oscar Jurado Sánchez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67.5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamIntercept MMA
What's at stake
Oscar Jurado Sánchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Aupuni Pagaoa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1502
If they lose-11→ 1470
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-31→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aupuni PagaoaOscar Jurado Sánchez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oscar Jurado Sánchez88%
Aupuni Pagaoa 12%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Jurado Sánchez a 88% favorite over Aupuni Pagaoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Oscar Jurado Sánchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1481, a 111-point edge.
Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Oscar Jurado Sánchez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Jurado Sánchez 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.