Combat Edge Intelligence

Aupuni Pagaoa vs Roldan Sangcha-an

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record4-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
67.5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

Aupuni Pagaoa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roldan Sangcha-an carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aupuni PagaoaNow 1481
If they win+15→ 1496
If they lose-17→ 1464
Roldan Sangcha-anNow 1462
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aupuni PagaoaRoldan Sangcha-an
145015001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (80%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aupuni Pagaoa59%
Roldan Sangcha-an 41%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Aupuni Pagaoa a 59% favorite over Roldan Sangcha-an in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Aupuni Pagaoa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1481 to 1462, a 19-point edge.

Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roldan Sangcha-an enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Roldan Sangcha-an 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.