Aupuni Pagaoa vs Turrell Galloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record8-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
67.5"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Aupuni Pagaoa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Turrell Galloway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1496
If they lose-17→ 1464
If they win+17→ 1472
If they lose-15→ 1440
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aupuni PagaoaTurrell Galloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aupuni Pagaoa66%
Turrell Galloway 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Aupuni Pagaoa a 66% favorite over Turrell Galloway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Aupuni Pagaoa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1481 to 1455, a 26-point edge.
Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Turrell Galloway enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Turrell Galloway 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.