Aupuni Pagaoa vs Yao Zhikui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record5-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67.5"Reach64.00
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeam
What's at stake
Aupuni Pagaoa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yao Zhikui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1495
If they lose-18→ 1463
If they win+26→ 1474
If they lose-22→ 1426
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aupuni PagaoaYao Zhikui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aupuni Pagaoa70%
Yao Zhikui 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Aupuni Pagaoa a 70% favorite over Yao Zhikui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Aupuni Pagaoa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1481 to 1448, a 33-point edge.
Aupuni Pagaoa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yao Zhikui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aupuni Pagaoa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yao Zhikui 80%.
Aupuni Pagaoa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.