Austin Arnett vs Cory Sandhagen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record18-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
41,0"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
SikjitsuTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Cory Sandhagen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Austin Arnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-8→ 1618
If they win+8→ 1761
If they lose-16→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1775 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin ArnettCory Sandhagen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cory Sandhagen92%
Austin Arnett 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 92% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Cory Sandhagen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1626, a 127-point edge.
Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Cory Sandhagen 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.