Austin Arnett vs Hakeem Dawodu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record13-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
41,0"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SikjitsuTeamChampion's Creed MMA
What's at stake
Hakeem Dawodu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Austin Arnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1640
If they lose-10→ 1616
If they win+13→ 1704
If they lose-19→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin ArnettHakeem Dawodu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hakeem Dawodu75%
Austin Arnett 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Hakeem Dawodu a 75% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Hakeem Dawodu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1626, a 65-point edge.
Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Hakeem Dawodu 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.