Austin Arnett vs Humberto Bandenay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record27-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
41,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SikjitsuTeamDogo Training Center
What's at stake
Humberto Bandenay is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Austin Arnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1640
If they lose-10→ 1616
If they win+10→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin ArnettHumberto Bandenay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Humberto Bandenay66%
Austin Arnett 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Humberto Bandenay a 66% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Humberto Bandenay holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1626, a 49-point edge.
Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Humberto Bandenay 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.