Austin Arnett vs Kevin Rosas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
41,0"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin ArnettKevin Rosas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Arnett56%
Kevin Rosas 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Arnett a 56% favorite over Kevin Rosas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Rosas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.
Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kevin Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Rosas 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.