Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Arnett vs Roman Puga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Arnett
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Austin Arnett

“The Golden Boy”

18-7-0FeatherweightFSF

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
41,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin ArnettNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Roman PugaNow 1625
If they win+24→ 1649
If they lose-24→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
18%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.22
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin ArnettRoman Puga
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
6 (33%)
Submission
1 (17%)
4 (22%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Puga79%
Austin Arnett 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Puga a 79% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Arnett's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Roman Puga enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Roman Puga 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.