Austin Arnett vs Shane Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record13-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
41,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Austin Arnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Shane Young carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1637
If they lose-13→ 1613
If they win+18→ 1601
If they lose-14→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin ArnettShane Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Young53%
Austin Arnett 47%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Young a 53% favorite over Austin Arnett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Arnett's way (44%).
Austin Arnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1583, a 43-point edge.
Austin Arnett enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austin Arnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.