Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Bashi vs Christian Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach71″
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warrior Way Martial ArtsTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

Austin Bashi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Christian Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austin BashiNow 1721
If they win+15→ 1736
If they lose-17→ 1704
Christian RodriguezNow 1696
If they win+17→ 1713
If they lose-15→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
49%
Strike defense
57%
7.81
Takedown avg.
1.75
9%
Takedown accuracy
41%
63%
Takedown defense
67%
1.67
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Austin BashiChristian Rodriguez
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
6 (43%)
Submission
5 (38%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Austin Bashi and Christian Rodriguez within a point of even.

Austin Bashi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1696, a 25-point edge.

Austin Bashi finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Christian Rodriguez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.