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Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Bashi vs Christian Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach71″
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warrior Way Martial ArtsTeamRoufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin BashiNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Christian RodriguezNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
53%
Strike defense
57%
6.09
Takedown avg.
1.75
6%
Takedown accuracy
41%
64%
Takedown defense
67%
1.43
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Austin BashiChristian Rodriguez
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
6 (43%)
Submission
5 (38%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Rodriguez63%
Austin Bashi 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 63% favorite over Austin Bashi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Bashi's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1697), separated by just 6 points.

Austin Bashi finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Christian Rodriguez 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.