Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Clayton vs Dequan Townsend

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
-Reach79,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMurcielago MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin ClaytonNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
TBD
Strike defense
39%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
47%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austin ClaytonDequan Townsend
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
14 (54%)
2 (33%)
Submission
5 (19%)
1 (17%)
Decision
7 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Clayton70%
Dequan Townsend 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Clayton a 70% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Austin Clayton finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Dequan Townsend 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.