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Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Clayton vs Murilo Bustamante

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record15-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin ClaytonNow 1619
If they win+24→ 1643
If they lose-24→ 1595
Murilo BustamanteNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
33%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.90
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Austin ClaytonMurilo Bustamante
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
2 (33%)
Submission
4 (27%)
1 (17%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Murilo Bustamante56%
Austin Clayton 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Murilo Bustamante a 56% favorite over Austin Clayton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Clayton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Austin Clayton finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Murilo Bustamante 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.