Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Clayton vs Nissen Osterneck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamRelson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin ClaytonNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Nissen OsterneckNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
TBD
Takedown defense
43%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Austin ClaytonNissen Osterneck
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
2 (33%)
Submission
7 (54%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Clayton84%
Nissen Osterneck 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Clayton a 84% favorite over Nissen Osterneck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nissen Osterneck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Clayton finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nissen Osterneck 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.