Austin Hubbard vs Carl Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight Team· avg 1657 EloTeamManchester Top Team· avg 1634 Elo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardCarl Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carl Jones51%
Austin Hubbard 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carl Jones a 51% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Hubbard's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Carl Jones 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.