Austin Hubbard vs Dakota Bush
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-0Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamThe Smith Pit
What's at stake
Dakota Bush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Austin Hubbard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1620
If they lose-9→ 1596
If they win+11→ 1719
If they lose-21→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardDakota Bush
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Bush64%
Austin Hubbard 36%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 64% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Dakota Bush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1605, a 103-point edge.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Bush 53%.
Dakota Bush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.