Austin Hubbard vs Danny Castillo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record17-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardDanny Castillo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard66%
Danny Castillo 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 66% favorite over Danny Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Danny Castillo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Danny Castillo 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.