Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Daron Cruickshank

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record23-14-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin HubbardNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
Daron CruickshankNow 1603
If they win+12→ 1615
If they lose-12→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
44%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
56%
Strike defense
57%
1.59
Takedown avg.
2.04
32%
Takedown accuracy
42%
68%
Takedown defense
60%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Austin HubbardDaron Cruickshank
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
2 (13%)
Submission
2 (9%)
9 (56%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard66%
Daron Cruickshank 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 66% favorite over Daron Cruickshank in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Daron Cruickshank 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.