Austin Hubbard vs Jamie Varner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record21-11-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1615
If they lose-12→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardJamie Varner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard70%
Jamie Varner 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 70% favorite over Jamie Varner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jamie Varner enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Varner 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.