Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Hubbard vs Joe Solecki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamGym-O

What's at stake

Joe Solecki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Austin Hubbard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-10→ 1609
Joe SoleckiNow 1667
If they win+14→ 1681
If they lose-18→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
44%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.77
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.59
Takedown avg.
2.23
32%
Takedown accuracy
47%
68%
Takedown defense
20%
0.11
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

Austin HubbardJoe Solecki
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Submission
9 (69%)
9 (56%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Solecki60%
Austin Hubbard 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Solecki a 60% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Joe Solecki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1619, a 48-point edge.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Joe Solecki 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.