Austin Hubbard vs Kyle Prepolec
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMaximum Training Centre
What's at stake
Austin Hubbard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kyle Prepolec carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1615
If they lose-13→ 1591
If they win+13→ 1580
If they lose-11→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin HubbardKyle Prepolec
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Hubbard56%
Kyle Prepolec 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 56% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Austin Hubbard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1567, a 37-point edge.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Austin Hubbard finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.