Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Lingo vs Caleb Moctezuma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Lingo
us

Austin Lingo

“Lights Out”

9-4-0FeatherweightFFC

1508Average

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach67.7"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamLegacy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin LingoNow 1508
If they win+24→ 1532
If they lose-24→ 1484
Caleb MoctezumaNow 1510
If they win+16→ 1526
If they lose-16→ 1494

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
38%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0.43
Takedown avg.
Not available
67%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
76%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Austin LingoCaleb Moctezuma
15001550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (44%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Lingo59%
Caleb Moctezuma 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Lingo a 59% favorite over Caleb Moctezuma in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caleb Moctezuma's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1510), separated by just 2 points.

Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Caleb Moctezuma enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Caleb Moctezuma 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.