Austin Lingo vs Jacob Kilburn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record8-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach72,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamHarris Holt Combat Sports
What's at stake
Jacob Kilburn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Austin Lingo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
If they win+15→ 1543
If they lose-17→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin LingoJacob Kilburn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Lingo53%
Jacob Kilburn 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Lingo a 53% favorite over Jacob Kilburn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jacob Kilburn's way (47%).
Jacob Kilburn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1528 to 1509, a 19-point edge.
Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jacob Kilburn enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Kilburn 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.