Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Lingo vs Jacob Kilburn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Austin Lingo
us

Austin Lingo

“Lights Out”

9-4-0FeatherweightFFC

1508Average

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record8-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach72,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamHarris Holt Combat Sports

What's at stake

Jacob Kilburn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Austin Lingo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austin LingoNow 1508
If they win+25→ 1533
If they lose-23→ 1485
Jacob KilburnNow 1527
If they win+15→ 1542
If they lose-17→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.56
38%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
57%
Strike defense
35%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.51
67%
Takedown accuracy
6%
76%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Austin LingoJacob Kilburn
1500155016002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Austin Lingo and Jacob Kilburn within a point of even.

Jacob Kilburn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1527 to 1508, a 19-point edge.

Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jacob Kilburn enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Kilburn 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.