Austin Lingo vs Melquizael Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio
What's at stake
Melquizael Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Austin Lingo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+35→ 1543
If they lose-13→ 1495
If they win+6→ 1688
If they lose-18→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin LingoMelquizael Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melquizael Costa81%
Austin Lingo 19%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 81% favorite over Austin Lingo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Melquizael Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1508, a 174-point edge.
Austin Lingo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Lingo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.