Austin Miller vs Hector Aldana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'11"
-Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
ES MMA and FitnessTeamTorture Athletics
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin MillerHector Aldana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Miller54%
Hector Aldana 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Miller a 54% favorite over Hector Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Aldana's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1545), separated by just 1 points.
Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Hector Aldana 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.