Austin Miller vs Josh McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin MillerJosh McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Miller61%
Josh McDonald 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Miller a 61% favorite over Josh McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1541), separated by just 3 points.
Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josh McDonald 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.