Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Miller vs Joshua Sierra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'11"
-Reach69"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
ES MMA and FitnessTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin MillerNow 1544
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
Joshua SierraNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin MillerJoshua Sierra
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Miller58%
Joshua Sierra 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Miller a 58% favorite over Joshua Sierra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joshua Sierra's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1546), separated by just 2 points.

Joshua Sierra enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Sierra 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.