Austin Miller vs Quadarrius McGinnis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height6'2"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Austin Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Quadarrius McGinnis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1567
If they lose-25→ 1519
If they win+25→ 1552
If they lose-23→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin MillerQuadarrius McGinnis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Quadarrius McGinnis54%
Austin Miller 46%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Quadarrius McGinnis a 54% favorite over Austin Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Miller's way (48%).
Austin Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1544 to 1527, a 17-point edge.
Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Quadarrius McGinnis 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.