Austin Miller vs Quadarrius McGinnis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height6'2"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Austin Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Quadarrius McGinnis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1592
If they lose-29→ 1544
If they win+29→ 1527
If they lose-19→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin MillerQuadarrius McGinnis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Miller67%
Quadarrius McGinnis 33%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Miller a 67% favorite over Quadarrius McGinnis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Austin Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1573 to 1498, a 75-point edge.
Austin Miller enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Austin Miller finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.