Austin Springer vs Francisco Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record6-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
38,0"Reach-
151 lbsWeight149 lbs
Vancouver Elite Martial ArtsTeamMMA Colombia
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
If they win+24→ 1641
If they lose-24→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin SpringerFrancisco Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Austin Springer58%
Francisco Hernandez 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Austin Springer a 58% favorite over Francisco Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.
Francisco Hernandez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Austin Springer finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Hernandez 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.