Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Springer vs Gianni Vazquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record14-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach71"
151 lbsWeight141 lbs
Vancouver Elite Martial ArtsTeamCalmecac Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin SpringerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Gianni VazquezNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
58%
Strike accuracy
22%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
42%
Strike defense
39%
3.37
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
63%
0.84
Submission avg.
2

Trajectory

Austin SpringerGianni Vazquez
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (21%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gianni Vazquez62%
Austin Springer 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gianni Vazquez a 62% favorite over Austin Springer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1621), separated by just 3 points.

Austin Springer finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gianni Vazquez 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.