Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Tweedy vs Jose Mendez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamSpokane Valley BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin TweedyNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Jose MendezNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1478 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
67%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
0%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin TweedyJose Mendez
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
9 (82%)
Submission
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Mendez70%
Austin Tweedy 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Mendez a 70% favorite over Austin Tweedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.

Austin Tweedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Tweedy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jose Mendez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.