Austin Tweedy vs Leo Brichta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
39,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin TweedyLeo Brichta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leo Brichta70%
Austin Tweedy 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leo Brichta a 70% favorite over Austin Tweedy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Tweedy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.
Austin Tweedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leo Brichta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Austin Tweedy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leo Brichta 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.