Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Tweedy vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team IndianapolisTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin TweedyNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
67%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
0%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
0%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Austin TweedyMichael Johnson
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
9 (82%)
Submission
2 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson55%
Austin Tweedy 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 55% favorite over Austin Tweedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Austin Tweedy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Tweedy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.