Austin Vanderford vs Carlston Harris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record19-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Austin VanderfordCarlston Harris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlston Harris59%
Austin Vanderford 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 59% favorite over Austin Vanderford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Vanderford's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1690), separated by just 0 points.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Carlston Harris 58%.
Carlston Harris carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.