Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Claude Patrick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record14-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamElite Mixed Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Claude PatrickNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
59%
Strike accuracy
56%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.89
48%
Strike defense
70%
3.08
Takedown avg.
2.32
36%
Takedown accuracy
53%
100%
Takedown defense
84%
1.23
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordClaude Patrick
165017002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
3 (23%)
Submission
9 (64%)
5 (38%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Vanderford60%
Claude Patrick 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Vanderford a 60% favorite over Claude Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1689), separated by just 2 points.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Claude Patrick 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.