Austin Vanderford vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight171 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Austin VanderfordJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani63%
Austin Vanderford 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 63% favorite over Austin Vanderford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Vanderford's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1683), separated by just 8 points.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 73%.
Austin Vanderford carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.