Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Julio Paulino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julio Paulino
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Julio Paulino

“The Dominican Demon”

23-5-0HeavyweightAFC

1692Good

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record23-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight236 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamLegacy Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Julio PaulinoNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
0.97
59%
Strike accuracy
28%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.87
48%
Strike defense
49%
3.08
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
38%
1.23
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordJulio Paulino
170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
3 (23%)
Submission
7 (30%)
5 (38%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Vanderford69%
Julio Paulino 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Vanderford a 69% favorite over Julio Paulino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julio Paulino's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1692), separated by just 1 points.

Julio Paulino enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Julio Paulino 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.