Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Levan Chokheli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record15-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamPhoenix Sportakademie Kassel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Levan ChokheliNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordLevan Chokheli
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
3 (23%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (38%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Levan Chokheli63%
Austin Vanderford 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Levan Chokheli a 63% favorite over Austin Vanderford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Austin Vanderford's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.

Levan Chokheli enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Levan Chokheli 80%.

Austin Vanderford and Levan Chokheli share 1 common opponent: Vinicius de Jesus.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2020
Vinicius de Jesus
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2021