Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Ramiz Brahimaj

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Austin Vanderford is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ramiz Brahimaj carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-18→ 1673
Ramiz BrahimajNow 1647
If they win+18→ 1665
If they lose-14→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.29
59%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
48%
Strike defense
47%
3.08
Takedown avg.
1.99
36%
Takedown accuracy
14%
100%
Takedown defense
45%
1.23
Submission avg.
1.60

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordRamiz Brahimaj
16001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
3 (23%)
Submission
12 (92%)
5 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Vanderford55%
Ramiz Brahimaj 45%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Vanderford a 55% favorite over Ramiz Brahimaj in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Austin Vanderford holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1647, a 44-point edge.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Ramiz Brahimaj 100%.

Austin Vanderford carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.