Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Sergey Khandozhko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record27-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamIndustrials

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Sergey KhandozhkoNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
59%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
48%
Strike defense
61%
3.08
Takedown avg.
0.76
36%
Takedown accuracy
29%
100%
Takedown defense
61%
1.23
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordSergey Khandozhko
1700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
3 (23%)
Submission
7 (27%)
5 (38%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Khandozhko54%
Austin Vanderford 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Khandozhko a 54% favorite over Austin Vanderford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1694), separated by just 3 points.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Khandozhko 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.