Combat Edge Intelligence

Austin Vanderford vs Siyar Bahadurzada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record24-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach72,5"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gracie Barra PortlandTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Austin VanderfordNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Siyar BahadurzadaNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
59%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
48%
Strike defense
49%
3.08
Takedown avg.
1.32
36%
Takedown accuracy
62%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
1.23
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Austin VanderfordSiyar Bahadurzada
170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
3 (23%)
Submission
6 (25%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Vanderford71%
Siyar Bahadurzada 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Vanderford a 71% favorite over Siyar Bahadurzada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Siyar Bahadurzada's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Vanderford finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.

Austin Vanderford carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.