Axel Alfandari vs Kengo Ura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record14-13-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Montagne Noire Combat LibreTeamIngram
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel AlfandariKengo Ura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Axel Alfandari63%
Kengo Ura 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Axel Alfandari a 63% favorite over Kengo Ura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1491), separated by just 6 points.
Kengo Ura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kengo Ura 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.