Axel Nobou vs Ilya Kotau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-6-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach69"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1491
If they lose-16→ 1459
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Axel NobouIlya Kotau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilya Kotau56%
Axel Nobou 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilya Kotau a 56% favorite over Axel Nobou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1478), separated by just 3 points.
Axel Nobou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ilya Kotau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Axel Nobou finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.