Combat Edge Intelligence

Axel Sola vs Lance Palmer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-1-1Record23-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'6"
74"Reach69"
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boxing SquadTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Axel SolaNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Lance PalmerNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
2.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Axel SolaLance Palmer
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
2 (17%)
Submission
8 (35%)
4 (33%)
Decision
14 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Axel Sola92%
Lance Palmer 8%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Axel Sola a 92% favorite over Lance Palmer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1706), separated by just 0 points.

Lance Palmer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Axel Sola finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Lance Palmer 39%.

Axel Sola carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.